When Are Home Heating Prices Expected to Go Down?

With winter weather hitting hard, homeowners in the U.S. are facing the problem of home heating costs. Recent years have seen a notable jump in energy prices, leaving many in search of answers and relief. Learn what impacts home heating prices, the recent trends we’ve seen and tips to keep your utility bills in check.

Types of Home Heating Fuel

Several fuels are used for home heating in the United States:

  • Natural gas heats 48% of American homes.
  • Heating oil serves 5% of homes.
  • Propane accounts for another 5%.
  • Electricity warms 40% of U.S. homes. Fossil fuels continue to be the most used source for creating electricity even with the renewed focus on renewable energy sources like wind and solar. 

What Factors Impact the Price of Fossil Fuels?

Considering the above information, it’s evident that fossil fuels heat a large majority of North American households. Supply and demand is the biggest factor generating price fluctuations. An increase in supply—triggered by more production and storage rates—typically lowers prices, while an increase in demand—brought about by harsh weather, a thriving economy and rising rates for alternative fuels—can cause prices to climb.

Exactly How Much Has the Price of Natural Gas Gone Up?

Domestic natural gas production outpaced consumption starting in 2017, leading to a general price decline through 2018. Unfortunately, demand has surged recently across all sectors, causing natural gas prices to achieve heights not seen in roughly a decade.

In 2022, the average wholesale cost of U.S. natural gas reached its highest price since 2008, hitting an average of $6.45 per million British thermal units (MMBtu). This surge represented a significant leap of greater than 53% from the previous year, marking it as one of the sharpest annual increases on record.

A number of factors led to the erratic rise and lack of stability of natural gas prices last year. In early 2022, production hiccups caused by freeze-offs and a substantial draw from natural gas reserves nudged prices way up. Robust liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports to Europe and other countries, combined with a surge in domestic demand due to cold weather, stretched the price range even further.

In the spring of 2022, prices roared past $9/MMBtu, only to drop by 40% following the fire and subsequent stoppage at the Freeport LNG export terminal. This incident sharply cut U.S. LNG exports and redirected more natural gas toward storage. But, as the summer heat faded, prices climbed again, peaking in late August.

Moving into the fall, an uptick in natural gas production and higher-than-average injections into storage saw prices drop down closer to the five-year average. However, as temperatures went down, the demand for heating caused prices to rise one more time.

When Will Fuel Rates Cool Down?

The fluctuations in natural gas prices underscore the complex interplay of factors influencing home heating prices. As we look ahead to the rest of the 2023-24 heating season, the market’s past behavior offers insights into future price trends and the possibility of cost-saving options.

As of late 2023, prices have come down from their previous highs because of robust production and relatively mild temperatures. Even though demand remains steady, forecasters anticipate prices around $3.44/MMBtu this winter, offering some respite for house owners as we move through the heating season.

Tricks to Reduce Your Heating Bill

It doesn’t matter how you heat your home or what prices are like, you can take several practical steps to improve energy efficiency and reduce your heating costs. Here are a few strategies:

  • Seal drafty windows and doors with caulk and weatherstripping.
  • Use curtains to your advantage, opening them during the day for free light and heat and then pulling them back over the windows in the evenings to insulate your windows.
  • Add more attic insulation to prevent heat from rising out of your home.
  • Buy a smart thermostat that learns your behavior and adjusts the temperature accordingly to help reduce your energy usage.
  • Lower the temperature on your thermostat when you’re away so you don’t pay extra to heat an empty house.
  • Wear warmer clothes inside the home so you aren’t forced to crank up the thermostat.
  • Make an appointment for annual furnace maintenance to keep your heating system in top shape.
  • Set up a whole-house humidifier. Moist air feels warmer than dry air, so you feel more comfy at a lower temperature.

Make Your Home Warm in the U.S. with Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing

Nothing is more critical to the Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing team than your comfort and safety. Our heating solutions can also help bring down home heating costs, which is great news for your pocketbook. With ACE-certified technicians at the helm, you can expect quick, long-lasting solutions to all your comfort needs. The assurance of a 100% satisfaction guarantee means that if you’re not totally happy with our services, you know we will make things right.

As a company that prides itself on innovation, customer engagement and community participation, you can trust Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing to make a meaningful difference in your life and enjoyment of your residence. For more details of what you can expect with heating prices in the U.S. or personalized methods to help minimize your utility bills, get a hold of the professionals at Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing. Call 866-397-3787 today to learn more.

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